记录 fcc7e7fda0fb4d2097925916a329f424 · 2026-09-17 21:10:11.765381 · 前向研究
AI 原始判断可供质疑,引用核对不保证推断与单位解读正确;情景回报不是已实现收益。失败和恢复记录均保留。
301602 超研股份 · AI 价值研究
研究日:2026-09-17 · 结论:error · 版本:value-research-v6
ModelCallError:agy:ERROR Your previous response was cut off because it exceeded the output token limit
Please continue from where you left off, keeping your response shorter
Retries remaining: 3
本报告是模型判断与前向观察起点,不是成交指令。情景收益不代表已获得的超额收益。
一手来源
- 2025年年度报告 · 公告日 2026-04-29 · SHA256 781e7c44e2435e8757a398ad2e0a0a87563df1eafa3e2d40f9be0af21302663d
- 2026年半年度报告 · 公告日 2026-08-28 · SHA256 c083b52cf2c51c7b383629c1e379d719605ac8d302bbf693216222d9057f63b4
- 2026年一季度报告 · 公告日 2026-04-29 · SHA256 5866320c425e512cfc5d43da220275792684ec57634cfb62a4b1921aaabe4f51
运行假设
{
"admission_enabled": true,
"admission_min_business_score": 50.0,
"admission_min_company_score": 40.0,
"admission_min_financial_years": 3,
"agy_auth_mode": "desktop",
"agy_effort": "",
"agy_model": "gemini-3.8-flash-high",
"agy_model_rotation": true,
"benchmark": "H00300",
"benchmark_assumed_return": 0.08,
"cli": "agy",
"effort": "medium",
"enabled": true,
"horizon_years": 3,
"market": "CN",
"max_budget_usd_per_call": 2.0,
"max_chars_per_page": 3500,
"max_daily_budget_usd": 1356.0,
"max_documents": 3,
"max_event_documents": 2,
"max_fact_chars": 45000,
"max_facts": 500,
"max_financial_age_days": 550,
"max_new_symbols_per_day": 327,
"max_pages_per_document": 10,
"max_price_age_days": 7,
"max_retries_per_day": 256,
"max_share_age_days": 90,
"max_worker_seconds": 3300,
"maximum_bear_loss": 0.35,
"min_cost_samples": 5,
"min_reserve_usd": 1.0,
"minimum_expected_excess": 0.03,
"minimum_margin": 0.2,
"model": "sonnet",
"rate_limit_cooldown_minutes": 60,
"require_capital_plan": true,
"require_value_case": true,
"required_return": 0.12,
"review_after_days": 30,
"round_trip_cost_bps": 30.0,
"timeout_seconds": 600
}
证据待办
- 补充含该主题的正式披露页
- 补充竞争对手披露或有出处的渠道证据;公司自述不足以确立护城河
- 核对最近定期报告后的临时公告;当前包不代表完整覆盖
前向收益与经营验收
完整参数、原始判断与披露摘录
展开可核对三情景输入、逐年现金流、引用纠正及全部取证页。来源 PDF 可从报告链接打开。